This Robert Novak map (found here) actually leads me to believe Obama should be a heavy favorite.
Novak gives a 270-268 McCain lead -- with McCain carrying all of (Ohio, Florida, Nevada, New Mexico). By contrast the only Obama states (on Novak's map) that I see McCain with a chance of swiping are Colorado and New Hampshire.
I just don't see a Republican presidential candidate winning Ohio in 2008. Maybe the foreclosure mess somehow solves itself in the next few months but I doubt it.
Discussed (indirectly) in this thread re this promotion.
This post seconds what I had already suggested.
Repeating the same trivia question I put there: "For a quick 10 points, without looking it up can you name the player who had nine RBI in a different game that day (May 17, 2002)?"
(Further hint, which would give it away if you looked it up (but obviously you won't look it up until you've given up): The nine RBI player was an Arizona Diamondback at the time.)
Good initial post, depressing comment section.
(You could say that about most political blog entries but this much more than most.)
To be fair, this comment is a very good refutation for the original hypothetical.