The former is of course the transcript of McCain's acceptance speech. With the caveat that Barack Obama's own acceptance speech galvanized me into seeing his presidency as a threat*, McCain's lost me somewhere around when he dedicated paragraphs to [person's name] of [place name].
*- Not the probability that Obama would win (Nate Silver says almost 70%, I say more like 75%) but rather the likely harm inflicted from his doing so, unless you assume that his worst ideas wouldn't actually pass Congress.
If you were wondering, I passed up BOTH the NFL opener AND the McCain acceptance speech to be productive at work, with a baseball doubleheader (and quite a dismal one at that!) as my accompaniment.
Posted by Matt Bruce at September 4, 2008 07:36 PMI dont think Nate's numbers can be trusted this week, since they take into account the Democratic convention "bounce" but not the (expected) Republican convention bounce. I'll start taking them seriously around the end of next week.
FWIW, I pegged a Democratic victory probability at 60% last winter and have yet to see anything to cause me to deviate from that figure.
baseball doubleheader (and quite a dismal one at that!)
Hey! There are two sides to every coin you know. :)
Posted by: Kubi at September 5, 2008 04:51 AM